Mat’s Redraft Cheat Sheet – August 25, 2021

Updated with Etienne’s IR designation and the Sony Michel trade. A massive overhaul to the cheat sheet today as I’ve been focusing on the ceiling and floor models of players. You’re seeing some big time upticks and a few guys being punished based on how these projections are shaking out. As a general rule, I …
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Keeper Value Chart – August 2021

To be frank, I’m copy/pasting a lot of this article that I posted back in July. I did update the values on all players, but the premise and examples are evergreen. So here we go…

Here’s a few examples of what I see on Twitter…

Scenario 1: “Should I keep DJ Moore in the 4th, Cooper Kupp in the 3rd or Antonio Gibson in the 2nd (late second, pick 2.08)?”

Scenario 2: “$200 auction, keep either McCaffery at $65 or Nick Chubb at $41.”

Scenario 3: “$100 auction cap, can keep two of four, Mixon for $26, Ekeler for $22 Hockenson for $8, Robert Woods for $7.”

The answer is easy in both scenarios… Wait, what? It is? Yeah, but you’ve got to do the math.

In scenario 1, you keep Gibson. Scenario 2, you keep Chubb. In scenario 3, you keep Ekeler and Woods.

How do we figure this out? By using the Keeper Value Calculator.

This handy cheat sheet works for both auction ($100 or $200 cap) and draft leagues. It gives you a value based on ADP, average auction values, and what the exchange rate is on the draft pick (because auction values are pretty straight-forward.

It’s spelled out on the attached PDF, but just in case you wanted a long-form explanation of how to use this, here it is.

If you’re in a draft and you pay certain rounds to keep players
i.e. Scenario #1 above – keeping players at differing rounds

Let’s just work with Scenario #1 above. Using our Player Values columns we find that:

Moore is worth 15
Kupp is worth 14
Gibson is worth 38

Then we consult our Round Value Chart.
The 4th is worth 17
The 3rd is worth 25
The 2.08 is worth 32

Do the math:
Moore = 15 – 17 = -2
Kupp = 14 – 25 = -11
Gibson = 38 – 32 = 6

As you can see, Gibson provides the most positive return on value.

You can choose to consult how good the value is by searching the handy Keeper Value chart within the calculator.

As you can see, Gibson comes in just above fair value. If you got to keep him for a third round pick instead, he’d be a 13 and a “Good Value,” and if you had to spend only a fourth rounder to keep him he rockets to a 21 and a “SHOCKING VALUE.”

If you’re in a base-$200 auction
This is really easy. Just take the Player Value and subtract the auction price for which you would need to keep them.

This is Scenario #2 above. McCaffery’s player value is $69, Chubb’s is $53. Fantasy manager had to keep CMC for $65 or Chubb for $41.

CMC = 69 – 65 = 4 (even-to-fair value)
Chubb = 53 – 41 = 12 (good value)

If you’re in a base-$100 auction
Slightly more math is involved. Take the Player Value and cut it in half, then subtract the auction price to give you your Keeper Value.

We saw this in Scenario #3.

Mixon = 40/2 = 20 – 26 = -6 (Not Good)
Ekeler = 44/2 = 22 – 22 = 0 (Even)
Hockenson = 10/2 = 5 – 8 = -3 (Not Good)
Woods = 15/2 = 7.5 – 7 = 0.5 (Even)

So the two possible players that this manager should keep are Ekeler and Woods, or else they’re overpaying.

Here’s the link to the Keeper Value Calculator just in case you missed it above.

Redraft Cheat Sheet Update – August 13, 2021

When you do all of your research for Fantasy Football Weekly, it’s usually the best time to update your cheat sheet. Talking to you Charch! Not a massive write-up today, but there are some movers due to injury, QB situation, some iffy or impressive reports at camp and more. Redraft Cheat Sheet with Kickers and …
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Mat Harrison’s Redraft Cheat Sheet – July 24th

Hello there. If you’ve found your way to my redraft cheat sheet congratulations, I hope you enjoy what I’m throwin’ down.

If you’re viewing this one in the future, this is one of those carrots that we dangle out there. This article is the free copy of the cheat sheet, but it’s likely that if you’re reading this in say August of 2021, that I’ve made several updates to said cheat sheet. And you don’t want old data… do you?

Oh no! What to do now!?!?

I know! You can subscribe to Shock Fantasy and receive all of my cheat sheets! There’s the redraft, dynasty, best ball, keeper league and much more. Plus you get access to the Super Bowl, Thanksgiving and NFL Draft Prop Bet Games, and our exclusive weekly SuperDash that shows so many relevant stats that your head may explode with joy.

Use the promo code CHEATER at checkout to get your season pass for only $25. That’s a full year for about 50 cents a week!

Today’s updates:

Redraft Cheat Sheet (with kickers and defense)

Redraft Cheat Sheet (no kickers or defense)

Redraft Cheat Sheet – July 20, 2021

Updated to reflect the Cam Akers news. Traditional redraft, or a league where you draft all new players every year, is still the most popular form of fantasy football. It’s where nearly everyone cut their teeth. Even if you are a devout dynasty player, a brilliant best ball boy or girl or you’re down with …
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